Well, I admire your faith in Abilene. But I will have to ride with Covenant in this one. Abilene is still beat up from their district game against Covenant, from what I understand. A game Covenant won 52-6. In their last 5 games, Covenant has surrendered only 14 points while scoring 272.
Abilene has shown a lot of grit and determination in reaching the semis with a depleted roster, and they did upset an undefeated Lucas squad, coming from 24 down. So, they certainly have a chance at pulling off an even bigger upset in my opinion. But I will still pick Covenant to make a return trip to the state game.