paytonchambless
11-man fan
Menard is underdog to Bronte sorry not even close.
Time to pick on the Toy etc.
- Thread starter oldfolks
- Start date
That’s ok. Maybe The Toy will move May to #1 next week.
Wildcats5421
Six-man expert
We could only hope lol
Tigerfan85
Six-man master
I think that window has shut. Lol
gameofsix
Six-man fan
Thorndale (11-man) is an underdog to #1 Gordon by 45??? ... does the toy think this will be played in the 6-man format? No way this is the spread. This will easily be Gordon's biggest challenge all season.
It's because Thorndale doesn't have a rating, so they're basically a 0. I probably should have implemented something to make it so that game simply wouldn't show up on the spreads page, but I figured this isn't something that is likely to happen often enough to make it worth the effort in coding.
Thinking about it now, though, I probably should do "something" to handle this game or else if Gordon doesn't win by 45 it's going to tank their rating.
gameofsix
Six-man fan
Good point. Would be crazy to see them fall to #2 or #3 over a measly 11-man loss. 
They have another 11-man game later in the season too.
They have another 11-man game later in the season too.
I don't even expect them to lose. I just meant they could drop quite a bit if they don't cover the spread (which would be 45 in this case). I've removed the game from the spreads, and I'll code in a way for the ranking system to ignore these 11-man games during processing too, or at least a way to limit their impact in case they don't "45" their opponent.Good point. Would be crazy to see them fall to #2 or #3 over a measly 11-man loss.
That said, if they could just win by 45+ points, that would be ideal. @Mike Reed
C. LaTransviejo
Six-man fan
If Mike Reed’s group is healthy, 45ing Thorndale will be as easy as falling off of a log. After all, crowded field plays all four quarters. No mercy for them!
gameofsix
Six-man fan
I don't agree on the easy part. To take a team and jump to 6man from 11 or to 11man from 6 mid season is a lot bigger leap than you might think. Gordon has the athletes and the coaching but its still a big leap.
Tigerfan85
Six-man master
Ok Mike
ok Mike yes we won BUT we don’t need the toy going crazy over it. Lol.
Roach
Six-man expert
Can we agree that Walnut Springs should be ranked last in their division or removed?
Ratings, after the pre-season ratings, cannot be manually altered. Well, they can be, but they're not. So their rating just sits at where they were to start the season. I will set them to inactive, though, so they're not listed anymore.
For those of you interested in this sort of thing, here's how The Toy did through the first 4 weeks. This is, typically, when we'd expect to see it start to become more dialed in so I'd expect that accuracy to increase slightly over the next few weeks.
Week 1: 88-48 (64.71%) / 50.66 spread error
Week 2: 114-27 (80.85%) / 40.87 spread error
Week 3: 107-31 (77.54%) / 38.82 spread error
Week 4: 108-22 (83.08%) / 39.6 spread error
Again, with this spread error, this doesn't take the mercy rule into affect. So, if a team would be predicted to win by 100 points, and they "only" win by 50, it would still count a 50 as the spread error. To me, a spread error of 40 points is pretty good when you consider that. I'd expect it to be in the 20s if I did account for 45s. In six-man football, being able to predict scores for every game within a 20 point average is pretty incredible, IMO.
Week 1: 88-48 (64.71%) / 50.66 spread error
Week 2: 114-27 (80.85%) / 40.87 spread error
Week 3: 107-31 (77.54%) / 38.82 spread error
Week 4: 108-22 (83.08%) / 39.6 spread error
Again, with this spread error, this doesn't take the mercy rule into affect. So, if a team would be predicted to win by 100 points, and they "only" win by 50, it would still count a 50 as the spread error. To me, a spread error of 40 points is pretty good when you consider that. I'd expect it to be in the 20s if I did account for 45s. In six-man football, being able to predict scores for every game within a 20 point average is pretty incredible, IMO.
Texlonghorn75
Six-man expert
I was just reviewing the dinosaur called the Toy Ranking and noticed that the Toy has May rated higher (311.33) than Richland Springs (305.75) even though the Springs strapped a beating on May a couple weeks ago. May might have gotten back a little self respect back by beating Newcastle but someone needs to run laps around the field to fix this wrong. Surprised the Dilla, T-Reb and the crew didn't mention this earlier.
Roach
Six-man expert
I see some teams ranked close to each other that one team would most likely 45 the other. Hey just picking on the toy 
I'd imagine if you look hard enough there are probably teams that would be picked to be 45 point favorites over a team that would 45 them instead. It's definitely not a perfect system, but it's also definitely the best one of its kind, especially for six-man football.I see some teams ranked close to each other that one team would most likely 45 the other. Hey just picking on the toy
