MelaniB
11-man fan
Is the Calvert v Jonesboro game going to broadcasted tonight?
The Round of Upsets???
- Thread starter Leman Saunders
- Start date
STRAIGHT SHOOTER
11-man fan
Johnny South
Six-man pro
The big "upset" was Jonesboro coming within a froghair of beating Calvert after being pickedl to lose by 35. Good Job Eagles!
Loraine beat Buena Vista...Valley beat Borden Co...Zephyr almost beat Gordon...and Blackwell almost beat Sands
and Whitharral got really close to beating Follett
While the toy does pick the winners at a high %...I have always wondered how it's spreads do...these are the public school ones that were off a lot this week
Buena Vista picked by 27 - Loraine wins by 4 - Toy off by 31 and winner wrong
Borden Co picked by 27 - Valley wins by 2 - Toy off by 29 and winner wrong
Calvert picked by 35 - Calvert wins by 6 - Toy off by 29
Follett picked by 45 - Follett wins by 12 - Toy off by 33
Gordon picked by 31 - Gordon wins by 2 - Toy off by 29
Guthrie picked by 45 - Guthrie wins by 14 - Toy off by 31
Buena Vista picked by 27 - Loraine wins by 4 - Toy off by 31 and winner wrong
Borden Co picked by 27 - Valley wins by 2 - Toy off by 29 and winner wrong
Calvert picked by 35 - Calvert wins by 6 - Toy off by 29
Follett picked by 45 - Follett wins by 12 - Toy off by 33
Gordon picked by 31 - Gordon wins by 2 - Toy off by 29
Guthrie picked by 45 - Guthrie wins by 14 - Toy off by 31
Leman Saunders":3aysm54q said:
always love when you cherry pick...
Abbott Savoy -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
Blum Campbell -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
Crowell Water Valley -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
Groom Southland -- picked by 31 -- was 45
Happy Grady -- picked by 35 -- was 26
Ira Garden City -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
May Santa Anna -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
Richland Springs Mt Calm -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
Sands Blackwell -- picked to be 18 -- was 12
Throckmorton Motley County -- picked to be 45 -- was 45
It went 14-2 picking winners and the two that lost were by less than a score.... now I do have a feeling the weather played a part in several games and I have no idea still how Calvert actually won that game... but it was pretty good, even with the spreads...
ya i do like to cherry pick...but wasnt trying to...pointing out how this was an upset week...but if you go by spreads and getting the spread correct...10 were right and 6 were wrong almost a 60-40 split...just pointing out while picking the winner is above 80% actually getting the spread within 6 points is a lot harder and how I wonder just what that % is throughout they year...and this week it missed on quite a lot...or I would think that's a lot...
or is 65-60% correct on the spread about average for the the toy?
again pointing out how I thought this was an upset week!
or is 65-60% correct on the spread about average for the the toy?
again pointing out how I thought this was an upset week!
still better than I can do...heck I thought Water Valley would give Crowell a game
There were only two upsets... your definition of an upset is weird. I doubt Jonesboro feels like they upset Calvert (I mean they probably do think they really did, based on the weirdness of that ending) but that was not an upset. Getting close is not an upset... winning when you aren't expected to is an upset.
Also, I don't put too much into the actual spreads anymore. The system is a mess with so many teams. The variance of the games and scores is huge. I am experimenting with a new approach. Same ideas, just expanded to allow for the wide range of teams and the movement that needs to be made with over 200 teams playing
BTW - for those of you that don't know, Leman and I get along fine. We just like to discuss things. Heck, most of this conversation has been taking place on FB messenger.
Also, I don't put too much into the actual spreads anymore. The system is a mess with so many teams. The variance of the games and scores is huge. I am experimenting with a new approach. Same ideas, just expanded to allow for the wide range of teams and the movement that needs to be made with over 200 teams playing
BTW - for those of you that don't know, Leman and I get along fine. We just like to discuss things. Heck, most of this conversation has been taking place on FB messenger.
WV Backer
Six-man pro
Ouch!Leman Saunders":2fv38uom said:
Johnny South
Six-man pro
There are two variables which play a part in a team's success which would take a little time and effort to address, not that I am a statistician, but age of team players(not just classification), and the coaches success in previous playoff games always jumps out at me this time of year.
How it would be weighted would be a statisticians problem.
How it would be weighted would be a statisticians problem.
westexasflats
11-man fan
You boys and ya'lls calculators, %'s. May the best team win always, except when RS is involved, then may RS win.........
Texas Forever7
11-man fan
Richland Springs is always a dangerous team to play year in and year out. I haven't seen them play, but I have seen the teams that they have played...it's hard to get a handle on how good of a team they are by the teams that are on their schedule. I think this game will really show how good both of these teams are. Good luck to both teams.
westexasflats
11-man fan
Will it be a "upset" if RS beats Calvert? The Toy
