update on what some may call the 'toy'

[granger]

Here's the stats I have for the year... I have not verified the first few weeks since we have had some score updates...

Week W L %
0 71 41 0.634
1 94 25 0.790
2 92 26 0.780
3 82 31 0.726
4 96 20 0.828
5 87 20 0.813
6 99 16 0.861
7 75 9 0.893
8 101 10 0.910

total 797 198 0.801

 

[donhardin]

Impressive.

Don Hardin
Abilene

 

[oldfat&bald]

Dang it! Don't go confusing things with facts and stats!

 

[kbjoe1]

outstanding

 

[fajitapete]

Nice Granger, looks like you are staying about .1% to .2 % ahead

 

[Caveman]

Is the won/lost determined using your point spread, or is it a straight-up won/lost? In other words, if you say Team A is favored by 25 and they only win by 20, is that still counted as a win?

Thanks.

 

[granger]

Is the won/lost determined using your point spread, or is it a straight-up won/lost? In other words, if you say Team A is favored by 25 and they only win by 20, is that still counted as a win?

Thanks.

Just winner pick...

A point spread is just that, the spread. It is to give a relative estimate of what could occur.... it should be nearer the mean as to games being on both sides of the spread...

if you were guessing with spreads and counting the way you propose, then you would create a program that would guess every spread by 1 (Team A by 1) and as long as they did, that would count.

 

[CowboyP]

Great job

 

[Caveman]

Thanks, I was thinking that was the case, but couldn't help but ask since winning but not beating the spread is a loss by Vegas standards. Although, Vegas standards is a bit of an oxymoron to which we should probably not aspire.

 

[Dogface]

That's why he's the Guru.
He's so cool he's _____ !

a) hot
b) hot
c) hot
d)SIXMANWATCHER1234

 

[smokeyjoe53]

That's why he's the Guru.
He's so cool he's _____ !

a) hot
b) hot
c) hot
d)SIXMANWATCHER1234

C? maybe B, could be A

 

[justobserving]

Granger just "Toys" around with this little do-dad of his .... It's kind of ah "To Infinity and Beyond" thing with him .... Danged accurate though - seems like it always has been.

I have always marveled at the spread accuracies. I am impressed at how many 4 or 5 point ranges above or below the spreads predict. I always get a kick out of the people who get all bent out of shape when the spread is not right on.

Keep up the "playtime" Mr. Granger ....

 

[granger]

update after all games in....


Week W L %
0 71 41 0.634
1 94 25 0.790
2 92 26 0.780
3 82 31 0.726
4 96 20 0.828
5 87 20 0.813
6 99 16 0.861
7 75 9 0.893
8 101 10 0.910
9 97 9 0.915

total 894 207 0.812

 

[granger]

Computer is 97-19 (.836) for the playoffs and 1087-237 (.821) for the season on picking winners. 17-3 last 2 weeks.

 

[rainjacktx]

Computer is 97-19 (.836) for the playoffs and 1087-237 (.821) for the season on picking winners. 17-3 last 2 weeks.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. You had to bring up this old thread just to brag?

At least t-sippers aren't quitters.

 

[51eleven]

Computer is 97-19 (.836) for the playoffs and 1087-237 (.821) for the season on picking winners. 17-3 last 2 weeks.

Yeah, yeah, yeah. You had to bring up this old thread just to brag?

At least t-sippers aren't quitters.

Well, it is his website.