Texas beats Arizona State. Which, unless there is an upset means they would face Oregon in the semi. If the Horns win that it would be an upset for sure.
On another note, I haven't seen any spreads yet (haven't looked) but I imagine LSU is favored over Baylor. I think the Bears might have a chance though. 8 game winning streak, they have been running the ball extremely well and Sawyer Robertson has been hot/taken control at QB.