Okay, guys. Here's my take.
Whatever we talk about Covenant and Geneva, just remember. It'll probably be the last two laps around the track for those two as six-man programs in 2014 and 2015. Covenant is playing 11-man JV starting next year and my bet is Geneva will do that in junior high in 2014 and maybe JV in 2015 (although I have no inside knowledge on Geneva's plans).
Having played in 3 and 4 team districts and in 6 to 8 team districts, I will tell you that the MOST competitive districts were the larger districts. In a small district, you can lose your first game and pretty well be out of the playoff competition and just play out the last couple weeks. In a larger district, you often still have several teams in playoff contention in the final week. Sure, you're going to have some district blowouts, but c'mon, don't tell me that EVERY one of your six or seven non-district contests are going to be against UIL powerhouses. You're gonna find Small Town Little Kids Public School just as well as you'll find Little Sisters of the Poor Catholic School. After all, you do want an easy game for Homecoming, right? And since you'll play them on the road one of those two years, you need to find a second "cupcake" for the other Homecoming contest.
One thing a larger district schedule makes you think seriously about WHO you want to schedule for non-district games. You have to put some thought into the team you expect to have the next two years and how you want to build them for district play. Young team, you might want to schedule teams that will allow your youngsters to develop; lots of talented upperclassmen, you might want to add a few challenges. It's a chess match however you do it.
One justification I could see for three divisions is that UIL by rule says they will have 16 districts in their two 1A (six-man) classifications and this keeps options for non-district contests against UIL schools open late into the season. But then again, there are more private six-man schools east of IH-35 and the majority of public six-man schools are west of IH-35 so it's not as easy as it sounds. For example, we at Seguin Lifegate have played six-man for 11 years. Only four games (of something like 125) in those years have been against public schools. I doubt if we're going to add Follett to the schedule. And there's a lot of private schools east of here.
I would have preferred staying with the Div 1/Div II format, with 30 schools in each division and four or five districts of 6 to 8 teams per district, and a 16 team playoff field. I can't see more than 12 teams in the playoffs under this format. Emery Weiner and Galveston O'Connell could have been absorbed under that 2 division format as well. A good number of those teams in D1 have played Emery Weiner in the past, so adding them to the provisional district format might have worked as well. You will always have teams that can compete above their division -- as well as teams that continue to struggle to compete even with teams in the lower divisions.
But as I mentioned in the past, nobody asked my opinion. If those districts remain stable and we don't lose teams (for example, take a look at D2, Division 3 the last two years), this will probably work okay. I expect there will be some issues concerning travel (Midland to Rockwall; El Paso to Wichita Falls), but those always are a problem. El Paso just can't be towed about 250 miles to the northeast as much as it would make things easier. I hate to call out teams, but folks like San Antonio Lutheran and Kingwood NE Christian haven't been real reliable to last through the season but they are going to have to during this next realignment cycle. Seems those schools (and some others) can get varsity with a JV numbers for basketball, but not for six-man football.
I guess we'll see if it works and when 2016-2018 realignment comes around if there are problems with three divisions, it's time for the schools involved to make their opinions known. It's not like there aren't a good number of people in TAPPS leadership or administration that aren't familiar with six-man football.