fajitapete's rankings(ravings)

[fajitapete]

For a lot longer than I care to think about I have been working on a ranking system aka ‘a toy’. It is based on last years power rankings that I tabulated and then influenced by enrollment, last years district standing, lettermen lost, returning, and starters returning. The last 4 items are taken out of DCTF so blame him if the rankings do go the way you want.

After a lot of regression testing and trying to quantify the influence on each of these areas, I think I have my system ready to run. It will get better as time goes on as I recessively apply corrections in a 4 week moving window so hopefully towards the end of the season I will have a good ranking system. I tested the system during last years play offs and only missed 5 games. So I am going public this year.

It’s not rocket science, but seems pretty damn close to it. Anyway, I haven’t done anything with the tapps or independents. I don’t have a clue how one can harness that much data, just doing div 1 and 2 is kicking my butt. I will try to bring those teams on line this year.

So here is the first run aka preseason rankings. If this can be kept up I’ll do it all year but if work gets in the way, well I do like the paycheck. I will try to predict upcoming game as well so we can all take big ol jabs when I miss.


Newcastle 1
Strawn 2
Woodson 3
Moran 4

 

[51eleven]

I've enjoyed most of Pete's postings for quite some time now but as a Strawn fan I think I like the DCTF pre-season ranking's better.
Although neither one really means a whole lot, the proof will come on the field.
Along that line, since no one else has posted on this thread since the site went down awhile back........ I guess all the players are getting up early this summer & running before it get's to 100 degrees ??? Maybe hitting the weights in the afternoon, participating in a 6 on 6 or 2 somewhere. Two a day's are coming.

 

[fajitapete]

51eleven wrote:
> I've enjoyed most of Pete's postings for quite some time now but as a
> Strawn fan I think I like the DCTF pre-season ranking's better.
> Although neither one really means a whole lot, the proof will come on the
> field.
> Along that line, since no one else has posted on this thread since the site
> went down awhile back........ I guess all the players are getting up early
> this summer & running before it get's to 100 degrees ??? Maybe hitting
> the weights in the afternoon, participating in a 6 on 6 or 2 somewhere.
> Two a day's are coming.

When I ran the initial power ratings Strawn and Newcastle were only 7.75pts apart. Looks like a close match up but the ratings will get a lot more accurate by the end of preseason. Starting off, it's mostly a WASG

 

[Dogface]

I appreciate Pete's ranking "toy".
Perhaps he should give it a cool name
(pie chart?)
so we don't get it mixed up with the Granger.
Not hatin or tryin to hurt
just sayin.

 

[fajitapete]

Dogface wrote:
> I appreciate Pete's ranking "toy".
> Perhaps he should give it a cool name
> (pie chart?)
> so we don't get it mixed up with the Granger.
> Not hatin or tryin to hurt
> just sayin.
Good Idead - I need a name, taking all suggestions and we'll vote on em

 

[Dogface]

In an attempt to turn over a new leaf;
I like "The Pie Chart" in honor of Pete's
undying affection for frito pie's.
Or
You could just go ahead and call it
"The Frito Pie Chart" but
I thought that sounded kinda like the semi-hemi.
But then again, can you really go wrong with any kind of frito pie?
I'm sure there are other idea's too.