Way Way Way Way Way to Early 26-28 Alignment Predictions D1

[rwpag]

Wasn't the 61.5 for 2024-2026? From what I can see, the 58 number appears to be the "bubble". Right now I would lean towards 58 being Div 1, but there is certainly the possibility of 58 being Div 2.

 

[Blue Bird]

I did some counting and really looking on the numbers page. There is eleven not counted on that page. Nor are the ones that played outlaw ball listed on the numbers page. Just going by the ones listed, but have not listed their numbers the median is going to go up past 58 which will leave Evant, Sands, Whitharrel, and Jayton in D II. There are about 9 D I schools from last year that have not turned in their numbers.

 

[Bjackson11]

I saw where they said 61.5 was the number unless I read that wrong

I think they were saying that was the number from the previous conference cutoff for '24-26. The one for this count they just did will more than likely change.

 

[ModeratorMike]

If y'all are going by the enrollments numbers here on this site, it's also important to note that most of the schools that aren't listed yet are DI schools so the number is likely to go up slightly once we have all those. That is, of course, assuming all those schools don't drop numbers this alignment. High Island and Penelope were pretty close (within 10) to the cutoff last alignment. Also consider that the script will put Runge in DII, but they may opt up to DI again. If I had to make a guess right now, with the missing information, I'd assume the real cutoff will be above 58, but maybe only slightly. I really don't see it being in the 60s again. Again, that's just my opinion, with a lot of missing information.

 

[Jeremy1]

Is Oglesby for sure moving up? I have been searching for numbers and haven't found anything as of yet.

 

[D.F.G.]

Is Oglesby for sure moving up? I have been searching for numbers and haven't found anything as of yet.

72, check the Numbers thread

 

[Jeremy1]

72, check the Numbers thread

Thanks, just found it. Going to be a tough district they are moving into. The last few years, their district has been a cake walk.

 

[D.F.G.]

Thanks, just found it. Going to be a tough district they are moving into. The last few years, their district has been a cake walk.

Yes much tougher, in fact it looks most of the top division 2 teams are moving up, could see some new faces in the division 2 state game next season

 

[Horns2217]

Is Oglesby for sure moving up? I have been searching for numbers and haven't found anything as of yet.

I wouldn’t of minded seeing them in d14 with Jonesboro like it was many years ago

 

[Jeremy1]

I wouldn’t of minded seeing them in d14 with Jonesboro like it was many years ago

I honestly thought they might end up in a district with Jonesboro.

 

[BaylorCattleGuy]

I wouldn’t of minded seeing them in d14 with Jonesboro like it was many years ago

Hoping to see it too

 

[BaylorCattleGuy]

I honestly thought they might end up in a district with Jonesboro.

Oglesby would win that district next year. I’m just leaving the May vs Jonesboro game. May is graduating ten seniors while Jonesboro seems pretty bare.

 

[CVguy]

If y'all are going by the enrollments numbers here on this site, it's also important to note that most of the schools that aren't listed yet are DI schools so the number is likely to go up slightly once we have all those. That is, of course, assuming all those schools don't drop numbers this alignment. High Island and Penelope were pretty close (within 10) to the cutoff last alignment. Also consider that the script will put Runge in DII, but they may opt up to DI again. If I had to make a guess right now, with the missing information, I'd assume the real cutoff will be above 58, but maybe only slightly. I really don't see it being in the 60s again. Again, that's just my opinion, with a lot of missing information.

I looked up the enrollment numbers from last year and High Island only had 53 with less 8th graders than seniors. Unless they had a lot of students move in, then they should have 50 or less this year. Runge would have slightly more, around 54 and Penelope would have around 63 or 54. Again that is if they didn't have a lot of students move in. If neither school opts up and Baird does go 11 man, then using 58.5 as the cutoff would make about 74 in D1 and 81 in D2. Using 57.5 as the cutoff would put 78 in D1 and 77 in D2. If any of the D1 schools missing info had large drops in numbers, then possibly even more in D2,

 

[CVguy]

Something I found that surprised me is Knippa. They are very close to moving into 11 man. They may have 2 more years of 6 man, then will be too big after that. Their Jr High and elementary is averaging 32 students per class.