I know the toy is way smarter than me. It gets refined over the course of the year and is usually pretty accurate by this time of year but it has been wrong before (like the 09 state game, I believe Strawn was favored over GC). I also realize RS is undefeated, 11-0, and loaded. I listened to the Calvert game and several players made plays beside the Rigdons and Burkhart. And Strawn is but 8-4. Yet I sill have to wonder if it might be off a bit.
Strawn started the season loosing to perineal power BC by 29. With all but 3-4 players getting their first varsity start. BC was 12-0 in D1 until they met the Rank Rankin Red Devil buzz saw. Then they rolled on through until Milford beating them by 14 and loosing 3 top starters to injury. The next week they were 45"d by eventual 8-3 GC (45'd by Balmoreah, lost by 14 to Rank Rankin, then by 24 to Balmoreah again). Then by 41 to May who lost to RS by 21 in the first game of the year and in the Regionals to Nueces Canyon by 4. Then almost healthy to Gordon by 1. Lost to some good teams with limited experience and injures, no excuse. But they should be seasoned by now. Some of those less experienced players do have limited deep playoff experience in big games. They are fast and as all of Coach lee's teams know how to block and tackle.
RS stared the year off beating May by 21, then 4-7 Aquilla by 4, one home schooled team by 45 and another, San Antonio Feast by 28. Then they rolled through several teams with less than stellar records. Until they had to come from behind in the last minute to beat Calvert by 5.