This is a close district, the way I have them ranked is:
Dawson - 63.75
Loop - 49.23
New Home - 48.11
Wilson - 41.19
While Dawson might have a slight advantage the field is crazy tight after that. And in reality a 14 point lead in six man ratings is almost the same as heads up.
While the system says Dawson by 15 and Loop by 8, these games could go either way.