Mercy Rule Update 2011

[freeagent]

Interesting thing ... on another board (not sixmanfootball.com; yeah, I know, I do go to those other sites...) one of those crowded field guys asked me how many sixman games are within 10 points, because it seems like most of them (to him) are 56-0.

So, I went through the week 6 numbers. Of the 112 games actually played, 16 of them were decided by 10 points or less (abour 15%).

Well, I wondered if that matched up to 11 man data. I checked (on that site) their 11 man private school finals for September 30th (this week wasn't available). There were 48 games, and 6 of them (about 18%) were within 10 points.

So, actually, games can be as "close" in sixman as our crowded field folks. And since the average number of points put up in a sixman game is higher than 11 man, it's actually tougher to have a "close" game on our side of the street.

 

[fajitapete]

From the useless information department:

Mercy Rule Update - Week 6
Games Ending under the 45-point rule
. . .

I am constantly amazed that you can keep up with all these teams and game. Right now I still seem to have to go back and correct game match ups every week. Of course some is due to the loosely applied naming conventions EP some of the time then El Paso the next week or all the 10-15 word named teams that get reduced to some type of acronym.

Not bitching, but some of these church schools are making my life harder

I would suggest to Granger that he publish a definitive list of school names and then we all use those, Him being the GURU that we try to emulate.

just saying

 

[freeagent]

From the useless information department:

Mercy Rule Update - Week 7
Games Ending under the 45-point rule

WEEK SEVEN RESULTS:

Public Schools: 16 of 30 games (53.3%) [bye week]

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 2 of 12 games (16.7%)
Of these 12 games, public schools won 7 and private schools won 5

Private Schools: 25 of 43 games (58.1%)

All Games: 43 of 85 games (50.6%)

Average Score: 60.9-25.6 (Margin 35.3)
Average Score of games ended by 45 point rule: 62.9 to 13.1 (Margin 49.9)
Average Score of games not ended by the 45 point rule: 58.9 to 38.4 (Margin 20.5)

Range of winning scores: 28 to 92
Range of losing scores: 0 to 82
Range of winning margins: 1 to 68
Number of forfeit games: 1

Comparisons:
Week 7 games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 61.5%
2009 - 48.1%
2008 - 62.9%
2007 - 56.0%
2006 - 53.1%
2005 - 58.5%
2004 - 49.4%

SEASON TO DATE RESULTS:

Public Schools: 213 of 413 games (51.6%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 72 of 152 games (47.4%)
Of these 140 games, private schools won 86 of these games (56.6%)

Private Schools: 168 of 321 games (52.3%)

All Games: 453 of 886 games (51.1%)

We are now 6 games behind the pace of total games for 2010 (892 games in 2010 through week 5), up 7 games from last year's week 7 (78 games). I think we'll end up 2011 just a few games behind last year's 1227 regular season games.

Total Season games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 50.6% (50.3% including playoffs) = 1227 games (1337 w/playoffs)
2009 - 51.5% (51.1% including playoffs) = 1113 games (1202 w/playoffs)
2008 - 53.7% (52.7% including playoffs) = 966 games (1045 w/playoffs)
2007 - 49.3% (49.0% including playoffs) = 974 games (1052 w/playoffs)
2006 - 47.5% regular season only = 954 games
2005 - 51.7% regular season only = 929 games
2004 - 49.8 % regular season only = 899 games

 

[freeagent]

From the useless information department:

Mercy Rule Update - Week 8
Games Ending under the 45-point rule

WEEK EIGHT RESULTS:

Public Schools: 32 of 59 games (54.2%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 4 of 5 games (80.0%)
Of these 5 games, public schools won 3 and private schools won 2

Private Schools: 25 of 47 games (53.2%)

All Games: 61 of 111 games (55.0%)

Average Score: 59.0-22.7 (Margin 36.3)
Average Score of games ended by 45 point rule: 61.7 to 10.9 (Margin 50.8)
Average Score of games not ended by the 45 point rule: 55.9 to 37.2 (Margin 18.7)

Range of winning scores: 30 to 116
Range of losing scores: 0 to 80
Range of winning margins: 2 to 88 (not including forfeits)
Number of forfeit games: 5

Comparisons:
Week 8 games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 51.6%
2009 - 54.5%
2008 - 52.2%
2007 - 48.8%
2006 - 45.9%
2005 - 54.9%
2004 - 56.0%

SEASON TO DATE RESULTS:

Public Schools: 245 of 472 games (51.9%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 76 of 157 games (48.4%)
Of these 157 games, private schools won 88 of these games (56.1%)

Private Schools: 193 of 368 games (52.4%)

All Games: 514 of 997 games (51.6%)

We are now 7 games behind the pace of total games for 2010 (1004 games in 2010 through week 8). I still think we'll end up 2011 just a few games behind last year's 1227 regular season games.

Total Season games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 50.6% (50.3% including playoffs) = 1227 games (1337 w/playoffs)
2009 - 51.5% (51.1% including playoffs) = 1113 games (1202 w/playoffs)
2008 - 53.7% (52.7% including playoffs) = 966 games (1045 w/playoffs)
2007 - 49.3% (49.0% including playoffs) = 974 games (1052 w/playoffs)
2006 - 47.5% regular season only = 954 games
2005 - 51.7% regular season only = 929 games
2004 - 49.8 % regular season only = 899 games

 

[freeagent]

Not really a "Mercy Rule Update," but again, some useless stats.

Last week, our school (Seguin Lifegate Christian) played its 100th varsity game since starting the football program in 2003.

Record: 61-39
Home Record: 34-19
Road Record: 27-20
District Record: 21-12
Playoff Record: 6-6

45 point games: 49 (won 32, lost 17)
Average score: 38.4-29.6
Forfeit games: 5 (won 3, lost 2, both in first season due to injuries)

 

[freeagent]

From the useless information department:
Revised 4:10 pm Monday

Mercy Rule Update - Week 9
Games Ending under the 45-point rule

WEEK NINE RESULTS:

Public Schools: 34 of 61 games (55.7%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 6 of 7 games (85.7%)
Of these 5 games, public schools won 4 and private schools won 3

Private Schools: 24 of 39 games (61.5%)

All Games: 64 of 107 games (59.8%) .. Highest of the season

Average Score: 57.0-18.6 (Margin 38.4)
Average Score of games ended by 45 point rule: 59.8 to 9.0 (Margin 50.8)
Average Score of games not ended by the 45 point rule: 51.9 to 32.6 (Margin 19.3)

Range of winning scores: 28 to 106
Range of losing scores: 0 to 75
Range of winning margins: 1 to 81 (not including forfeits)
Number of forfeit games: 1

Comparisons:
Week 9 games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 52.2%
2009 - 55.4%
2008 - 65.2%
2007 - 50.0%
2006 - 51.2%
2005 - 47.4%
2004 - 50.0%

SEASON TO DATE RESULTS:

Public Schools: 279 of 533 games (52.3%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 82 of 164 games (50.0%)
Of these 164 games, private schools won 91 of these games (55.5%)

Private Schools: 217 of 407 games (53.3%)

All Games: 578 of 1104 games (52.4%)

We are now 15 games behind the pace of total games for 2010 (1119 games in 2010 through week 8). My guess is that we'll end the 2011 regular season somewhere just north of 1200 games, which would fall short of last year's 1227 games.

Total Season games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 50.6% (50.3% including playoffs) = 1227 games (1337 w/playoffs)
2009 - 51.5% (51.1% including playoffs) = 1113 games (1202 w/playoffs)
2008 - 53.7% (52.7% including playoffs) = 966 games (1045 w/playoffs)
2007 - 49.3% (49.0% including playoffs) = 974 games (1052 w/playoffs)
2006 - 47.5% regular season only = 954 games
2005 - 51.7% regular season only = 929 games
2004 - 49.8 % regular season only = 899 games

 

[freeagent]

I noticed Granger has a total of 1111 games in his toy. Will have to check and see where I'm missing some games and will update.

 

[freeagent]

From the useless information department:

Mercy Rule Update - Week 10
Games Ending under the 45-point rule

As I have in the past few years, this will conclude the regular season stats. I will update a set of playoff results following the UIL title games in mid-Decemeber.

WEEK TEN RESULTS:

Public Schools: 31 of 59 games (52.5%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 2 of 7 games (28.6%)
Of these 7 games, public schools won 5 and private schools won 2

Private Schools: 23 of 40 games (57.5%)

All Games: 56 of 106 games (52.8%)

Average Score: 54.4-20.0 (Margin 34.4)
Average Score of games ended by 45 point rule: 62.4 to 12.0 (Margin 50.5)
Average Score of games not ended by the 45 point rule: 45.3 to 29.0 (Margin 16.3)

Range of winning scores: 26 to 90
Range of losing scores: 0 to 65
Range of winning margins: 1 to 69 (not including forfeits)
Number of forfeit games: 4

Comparisons:
Week 10 games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 58.3%
2009 - 48.4%
2008 - 57.1%
2007 - 58.5%
2006 - 52.1%
2005 - 47.4%
2004 - 50.0%

SEASON TO DATE RESULTS:

Public Schools: 310 of 592 games (52.4%)
Down 16 games from 2010 (608)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 84 of 171 games (49.1%)
Of these 171 games, private schools won 93 of these games (54.4%)
Up 8 games from 2010 (163)

This is the first year in four years where I tracked winners that private schools have won a majority of the gamea (Public schools won 54.0% in 2010, 54.4% in 2009; and 60.5% in 2008).

Private Schools: 240 of 447 games (53.7%)
Down 9 games from 2010 (456)

All Games: 634 of 1210 games (52.4%)
Down 17 games from 2010 (1227)

Total Season games ended by 45 point rule
2011 - 52.4% (playoff data to follow) = 1210 games (playoff data to follow)
2010 - 50.6% (50.3% including playoffs) = 1227 games (1337 w/playoffs)
2009 - 51.5% (51.1% including playoffs) = 1113 games (1202 w/playoffs)
2008 - 53.7% (52.7% including playoffs) = 966 games (1045 w/playoffs)
2007 - 49.3% (49.0% including playoffs) = 974 games (1052 w/playoffs)
2006 - 47.5% regular season only = 954 games
2005 - 51.7% regular season only = 929 games
2004 - 49.8 % regular season only = 899 games

 

[freeagent]

From the useless information department, before it closes for the Christmas Holidays:

Mercy Rule Update - PLAYOFF EDITION/FINAL RESULTS
Games Ending under the 45-point rule

PLAYOFF RESULTS (WEEKS 11-15)

Public Schools: 26 of 60 games (43.3%)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 1 of 6 games (16.7%)
Of these 6 games, public schools won 2 and private schools won 4

(Note: I classify charter schools who do not belong to a private school league (T-CAL primarily allows charter school members, but I believe TCAF also has one charter school member) as PUBLIC SCHOOLS. Austin NYOS and Dublin Premiere Charter competed in the Independents Bowl tournament in Weeks 11/12 and therefore are counted as public schools. I believe Dublin Premiere will compete in T-CAL in 2012 and will move into the schools counted as private schools that season.)

Private Schools: 25 of 51 games (49.0%)

All Games: 51 of 117 games (43.6%)

By weeks in playoffs: Week 11 23/53=44.2%; Week 12 18/43=41.9%; Week 13 7/14=50.-%; Week 14 3/6=50.0%; Week 15 1/2-50.0%

Average Score: 62.7-28.6 (Margin 34.0)
Average Score of games ended by 45 point rule: 71.3 to 17.6 (Margin 53.7)
Average Score of games not ended by the 45 point rule: 56.0 to 27.1 (Margin 18.9)

Range of winning scores: 32 to 118
Range of losing scores: 0 to 100
Range of winning margins: 2 to 64 (not including forfeits)
Number of forfeit games: 2 (both in Texas Independents Bowl)

Comparisons:
Playoff games ended by 45 point rule
2010 - 47.3%
2009 - 46.1%
2008 - 40.5%
2007 - 46.2%

FINAL SEASON RESULTS:

Public Schools: 336 of 652 games (51.5%)
Down 16 games from 2010 (668)

Public Schools vs. Private Schools: 85 of 177 games (48.0%)
Of these 171 games, private schools won 97 of these games (53.0%)
Up 14 games from 2010 (163)

This is the first time private schools have won a majority of these games in the four years I've kept this statistic (Private school wins '10: 46.0%. '09: 45.6%; '08: 39.5%) I'll put some of that increase in private school wins up for the influx of charter schools, but the 2011 season was one where several private schools (Austin Hill Country, Abliene Christian, Dallas Covenant) were extremely competitive, even with some of the top UIL competition.

Private Schools: 265 of 498 games (53.2%)
Down 8 games from 2010 (506)

All Games: 686 of 1327 games (51.7%)
Down 10 games from 2010 (1337), or 0.7%

Total Season games ended by 45 point rule
2011 - 42.4% (51.7% inclduing playoffs) = 1210 games (1327 w/playoffs)
2010 - 50.6% (50.3% including playoffs) = 1227 games (1337 w/playoffs)
2009 - 51.5% (51.1% including playoffs) = 1113 games (1202 w/playoffs)
2008 - 53.7% (52.7% including playoffs) = 966 games (1045 w/playoffs)
2007 - 49.3% (49.0% including playoffs) = 974 games (1052 w/playoffs)
2006 - 47.5% regular season only = 954 games
2005 - 51.7% regular season only = 929 games
2004 - 49.8 % regular season only = 899 games

Until 2012 ...