if the BCS followed sixmanfootball.com rankings

[granger]

I've been saying I would do it for years, but I finally did it... I did no adjusting to this. I didn't even pre-rank the teams. I ran it with the exact same variables as I do with six-man. I did try to run it a in a loop, but it really didn't make much of a difference, as it was pretty stable. It needs some adjusting...

RK	TEAM	REC	RATING
1	Texas Christian	8-0	1032.09
2	Oregon	7-0	1030.16
3	Missouri	7-0	1029.33
4	Auburn	8-0	1022.69
5	Michigan State	8-0	1020.72
6	Louisiana State	7-1	1018.1
7	Utah	7-0	1013.82
8	Wisconsin	7-1	1012
9	Boise State	6-0	1010.56
10	Oklahoma	6-1	1008.59
11	Ohio State	7-1	1002.66
12	Mississippi State	6-2	999.48
13	Stanford	6-1	999.23
14	Virginia Tech	6-2	995.85
15	Illinois	4-3	993.32
16	Florida State	6-1	991.08
17	Miami-Florida	5-2	964.02
18	Indiana	4-3	960.28
19	Iowa	5-2	956.22
20	Michigan	5-2	954.03
21	Northern Illinois	6-2	952.85
22	Arkansas	5-2	948.41
23	Texas A+M	4-3	946.04
24	Iowa State	4-4	944.66
25	Nebraska	6-1	943.73
26	Baylor	6-2	942.62
27	Oklahoma State	6-1	941.535
28	Arizona	6-1	939.35
29	Kansas State	5-2	939
30	U-C-F	5-2	938.53
31	Clemson	4-3	932.83
32	Florida	4-3	932.34
33	Penn State	4-3	932.02
34	Alabama	7-1	930.84
35	Navy	5-2	930.48
36	Texas Tech	4-3	930.21
37	No Carolina State	5-2	929.42
38	Southern Cal	5-2	929.4
39	Temple	6-2	929.17
40	Pittsburgh	4-3	928.27
41	West Virginia	5-2	925.62
42	Northwestern	5-2	923.42
43	North Carolina	4-3	923.26
44	East Carolina	5-2	921.76
45	Nevada-Reno	6-1	921.62
46	Notre Dame	4-4	921.574
47	Southern Miss	5-2	921.5
48	South Florida	4-3	920.13
49	South Carolina	5-2	919.66
50	Maryland	5-2	919.21
51	Air Force	5-3	918.09
52	Georgia	4-4	917.72
53	Georgia Tech	5-3	917.55
54	Wake Forest	2-5	917.4
55	Purdue	4-3	916.43
56	Oregon State	3-3	915.38
57	Texas	4-3	914.71
58	Hawaii	6-2	913.63
59	California	4-3	913.32
60	Syracuse	5-2	912.7
61	Minnesota	1-7	912.35
62	San Diego State	5-2	912.08
63	Virginia	3-4	911.15
64	Florida Intl	2-4	910.55
65	Boston College	2-5	909.75
66	Cincinnati	3-4	909.67
67	Colorado	3-4	909.46
68	Louisville	4-3	909.27
69	Tennessee	2-5	909.13
70	Toledo	5-3	907.91
71	Kansas	2-5	907.66
72	Louisiana Tech	3-4	907.6
73	U.C.L.A.	3-4	907.32
74	Duke	1-6	906.23
75	Kentucky	4-4	906.22
76	Army	4-3	906.06
77	Brigham Young	3-5	902.57
78	Vanderbilt	2-5	901.71
79	Tulsa	4-3	901.099
80	Rutgers	4-3	901.09
81	Connecticut	3-4	900.67
82	Buffalo	2-5	899.84
83	Mississippi	3-4	899.64
84	Fresno State	5-2	899.32
85	Wyoming	2-6	898.649
86	Washington	3-4	897.94
87	Arizona State	3-4	896.6788
88	Utah State	2-5	896.61
89	Idaho	4-3	896.03
90	Kent State	3-4	894.34
91	Troy	4-2	893.34
92	Ohio	5-3	892.21
93	Tulane	3-4	891.81
94	Western Michigan	3-4	890.49
95	Houston	4-3	889.97
96	Middle Tennessee	3-4	889.45
97	Miami-Ohio	4-4	889.44
98	San Jose State	1-7	888.92
99	Arkansas State	3-5	887.7
100	Western Kentucky	1-6	886.89
101	North Texas	1-6	886.23
102	Colorado State	2-6	885.58
103	Washington State	1-7	884.9
104	Memphis	1-6	884.01
105	S-M-U	4-4	883.2812
106	Florida Atlantic	1-5	881.18
107	Marshall	1-6	880.91
108	Bowling Green	1-7	880.55
109	UL-Lafayette	2-5	880.42
110	UL-Monroe	3-4	879.97
111	Akron	0-8	876.22
112	U-A-B	2-5	875.79
113	UTEP	5-3	874.32
114	Rice	2-6	874.05
115	New Mexico State	1-6	873.67
116	Nevada-Las Vegas	1-6	871.9
117	Central Michigan	2-6	869.42
118	Ball State	2-6	866.73
119	Eastern Michigan	1-7	864.79
120	New Mexico	0-7	861.68

 

[Jedi]

I like yours better.

 

[SavannahSixManFan]

I like Notre Dame at # 46...

 

[CowboyP]

Are you going to do spreads for this weeks college games?

 

[granger]

Not with this... I am working on a modified version that will

 

[patriotpaul]

I like it. Would be hard to argue with it except for Alabama at #34.

 

[granger]

I like it. Would be hard to argue with it except for Alabama at #34.

agreed, but losing to South Carolina who lost to Kentucky is ugly and holding them down...

 

[SavannahSixManFan]

Granger, can you take Notre Dame even lower?

 

[oldfat&bald]

What's wrong, not enough wailing & gnashing of teeth about your six-man rankings? You have to start having people complain about college rankings now?

 

[granger]

I have actually modified this to cap the score differential at 24 instead of 45 now and it looks a bit different... I have another version that is based on a system I developed 3 years ago for college tennis. It doesn't take score into effect at all, just winners and losers... I will probably average these for an overall. It looks pretty good.... the next step is the part that will predict lines...

 

[SavannahSixManFan]

oldfat&bald, I just dont like Notre Dame...

 

[The Motley Fool]

I like these rankings better, would like to see them become a regular part of this site.

 

[CowboyP]

I like these rankings better, would like to see them become a regular part of this site.

I think that's a great idea. Is it a possibility granger?

 

[granger]

I have actually created a composite ranking that seems to be real good... Will post again this week.

 

[Blue Bird]

Granger doesn't need to push Notre Dame down in the rankings. All they need to do is step on the field and play. They will get there on their own!

 

[The Motley Fool]

Granger doesn't need to push Notre Dame down in the rankings. All they need to do is step on the field and play. They will get there on their own!

:mrgreen:

 

[rainjacktx]

I have actually modified this to cap the score differential at 24 instead of 45 now and it looks a bit different... I have another version that is based on a system I developed 3 years ago for college tennis. It doesn't take score into effect at all, just winners and losers... I will probably average these for an overall. It looks pretty good.... the next step is the part that will predict lines...

I want to subscribe when you get the next step implemented. It will be a gold mine if you can get it to be over 60% accurate.

 

[granger]

had a malfunction and posted the wrong file... this is the combined file... I will post the lines it comes up with for this week's games in a minute...

1	Auburn	9	0	1097.181
2	Texas Christian	9	0	1089.985
3	Oregon	8	0	1082.647
4	Utah	8	0	1080.479
5	Boise State	7	0	1076.229
6	Louisiana State	7	1	1059.097
7	Stanford	7	1	1050.59
8	Mississippi State	7	2	1044.411
9	Virginia Tech	6	2	1030.339
10	Wisconsin	7	1	1028.763
11	Ohio State	8	1	1027.549
12	Michigan State	8	1	1022.561
13	Oklahoma	7	1	1022.288
14	Iowa	6	2	1020.528
15	Missouri	7	1	1019.549
16	Nebraska	7	1	1018.329
17	Oklahoma State	7	1	1017.51
18	Arizona	7	1	1008.212
19	Arkansas	6	2	1003.828
20	Alabama	7	1	999.709
21	Northern Illinois	7	2	996.7018
22	Illinois	5	3	995.5151
23	No Carolina State	6	2	994.8162
24	U-C-F	6	2	994.8096
25	Iowa State	5	4	994.567
26	Florida State	6	2	993.6492
27	Penn State	5	3	992.9599
28	Baylor	7	2	992.8542
29	Kansas State	5	3	992.0865
30	South Carolina	6	2	991.9808
31	Temple	7	2	991.6628
32	Florida	5	3	988.6806
33	Texas A+M	5	3	987.9312
34	Nevada-Reno	7	1	987.479
35	Michigan	5	3	983.9167
36	Southern Cal	5	3	982.5471
37	East Carolina	5	3	982.2537
38	Hawaii	7	2	981.5385
39	Northwestern	6	2	978.9753
40	Oregon State	4	3	976.7889
41	Texas Tech	4	4	976.2935
42	Miami-Florida	5	3	975.1496
43	North Carolina	5	3	973.4105
44	Air Force	5	4	971.6647
45	Pittsburgh	5	3	970.6013
46	Virginia	4	4	970.5091
47	Texas	4	4	970.485
48	San Diego State	6	2	970.0815
49	Syracuse	6	2	969.2183
50	California	4	4	967.9538
51	Tulsa	5	3	967.8757
52	Navy	5	3	967.3565
53	Arizona State	4	4	966.7007
54	Georgia Tech	5	3	966.4598
55	Toledo	6	3	966.3024
56	Notre Dame	4	5	966.2651
57	Purdue	4	4	965.8723
58	Clemson	4	4	965.0381
59	Washington	3	5	964.8094
60	West Virginia	5	3	964.7283
61	U.C.L.A.	3	5	964.5388
62	Maryland	6	2	964.463
63	Indiana	4	4	963.2819
64	Colorado	3	5	962.5027
65	South Florida	4	3	962.1252
66	Army	5	3	961.9344
67	Georgia	4	5	960.7634
68	Houston	5	3	960.6392
69	S-M-U	5	4	959.7993
70	Fresno State	5	2	959.1455
71	Boston College	3	5	957.2551
72	Rutgers	4	3	957.1769
73	Ohio	6	3	956.7019
74	Brigham Young	3	5	956.2009
75	Kentucky	4	5	955.5462
76	Louisville	4	4	954.9624
77	Mississippi	3	5	954.6428
78	Cincinnati	3	5	954.4304
79	Connecticut	4	4	953.3203
80	Southern Miss	5	3	952.9186
81	Miami-Ohio	5	4	951.2682
82	Kent State	4	4	949.9729
83	Tulane	3	5	945.7803
84	Louisiana Tech	3	5	943.7459
85	Tennessee	2	6	943.2515
86	Vanderbilt	2	6	942.6044
87	Kansas	2	6	941.9702
88	U-A-B	3	5	941.8748
89	Idaho	4	4	941.3146
90	Colorado State	3	6	940.8277
91	Duke	2	6	939.5271
92	Utah State	2	6	938.447
93	Wyoming	2	7	938.1791
94	Wake Forest	2	6	934.6809
95	Rice	2	6	933.6199
96	Western Michigan	3	5	932.9465
97	UTEP	5	4	931.9691
98	Marshall	2	6	931.9001
99	Troy	4	3	929.7495
100	UL-Monroe	4	4	929.4444
101	Arkansas State	3	5	928.8671
102	Minnesota	1	8	924.2294
103	Buffalo	2	6	922.3952
104	Bowling Green	2	7	921.6725
105	Florida Intl	2	5	921.1799
106	Florida Atlantic	2	5	919.9973
107	Middle Tennessee	3	4	918.6313
108	North Texas	2	6	918.1724
109	Washington State	1	8	916.8503
110	Memphis	1	7	915.0425
111	New Mexico State	2	6	914.34
112	UL-Lafayette	2	6	912.2205
113	Central Michigan	2	7	910.5086
114	Ball State	2	7	909.8975
115	Western Kentucky	1	7	907.7368
116	Eastern Michigan	1	8	907.5679
117	San Jose State	1	8	906.3975
118	Nevada-Las Vegas	1	7	903.9472
119	Akron	0	9	883.4522
120	New Mexico	0	8	881.3037

 

[granger]

Here are the lines... I have edited to include my lines and the vegas lines that were in a file (not sure how accurate these are, but I imagine they are close)

[

VISITOR	HOME	MINE	VEGAS
Middle Tennessee	Arkansas State	5	-1.5
Rutgers	South Florida	4	10
Buffalo	Ohio	12	15.5
Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	19	13
Western Michigan	Central Michigan	-3	3.5
U-C-F	Houston	-7	-2.5
Air Force	Army	0	-6.5
Maryland	Miami-Florida	5	8.5
No Carolina State	Clemson	-5	3
Virginia	Duke	-6	-1
Louisville	Syracuse	6	5.5
Iowa	Indiana	-13	-17
Illinois	Michigan	-1	3
Boston College	Wake Forest	-3	-3
Northwestern	Penn State	6	5.5
Wisconsin	Purdue	-14	-20
Minnesota	Michigan State	28	24
North Carolina	Florida State	8	10
Baylor	Oklahoma State	9	7.5
Arkansas	South Carolina	-1	3.5
Florida	Vanderbilt	-10	-14
Colorado	Kansas	-3	-8.5
Akron	Ball State	9	13.5
Nevada-Las Vegas	Brigham Young	16	18
Rice	Tulsa	11	18
Hawaii	Boise State	27	21.5
Temple	Kent State	-8	-3.5
New Mexico State	Utah State	9	18
Navy	East Carolina	6	3
Washington	Oregon	33	35
Southern Miss	Tulane	1	-10
Nebraska	Iowa State	-4	-18.5
Oklahoma	Texas A+M	-7	-3
Texas	Kansas State	8	-4
Arizona	Stanford	14	9.5
Texas Christian	Utah	0	-5
Fresno State	Louisiana Tech	-2	-1
Marshall	U-A-B	5	10
Nevada-Reno	Idaho	-10	-12
California	Washington State	-11	-14.5
Wyoming	New Mexico	-12	-10
Oregon State	U.C.L.A.	-1	-5
Missouri	Texas Tech	-9	-4
Alabama	Louisiana State	18	-6.5
Tennessee	Memphis	-5	-19.5
S-M-U	UTEP	-5	-7
Colorado State	San Diego State	10	17.5
Arizona State	Southern Cal	7	5.5
UL-Lafayette	Mississippi	14	27
Florida Atlantic	Western Kentucky	-1	-2.5
UL-Monroe	Florida Intl	0	9.5
Troy	North Texas	-1	-12.5
Idaho State	Georgia	10
Chattanooga	Auburn	40
Charleston Southern	Kentucky	9

 

[nm6man]

now all you have to do is bet all yours that are better than the vegas line and take the money and run. :mrgreen: