Why does this incessant bantering go on and on? People who have no real clue to what they are talking about. No real experience over the years watching and following this same scenario work it self out year after year.
The hopes and dreams of the Privates vs the reality of the Publics. I don't know why this is going on AGAIN !! This is as bad as the Tech Raider fans who are always saying they are in the same league with Texas, Oklahoma and say Nebraska.
Once in a great while you will have a Tech beat one of the elites. Once in a great while you will get a Private school who can play a game against a top rated Division 1 school and compete. Not often.
OK let's go with a few numbers here: ( These are called facts backed by data.)
Abilene Christian is currently ranked #18 with a power rating of 263.10
def #177 .. Saint Jo ……………. 68-0 … 1-4 ...154.3
def #31 … Newcastle …………... 80-44 … 4-1 … 245.69
def #58 .... Rockwall Heritage ….. 54-6 … 2-3 … 221.09
def #130 .. Willow Park Trinity … 62-6 … 1-4 … 176.32
def #165 ... Woodson …………… 64-0 … 0-4 … 160.00
Best win is over #31
Worst loss is from #0
Ira is Currently ranked #4 overall from all the Division Rankings with a power rating of 294.79
def #9 …. Follett …... 69-24 … 2-2 …...266.94
def #27 .. Knox City .. 72-48 … 1-4 ….. 222.56
def #15 .. Ropes …… 56-12 … 4-1 ….. 256.17
def #29 .. Loop …..… 54-4 ….. 1-4 ….. 189.13
Best win is over #9
Worst Loss is from #0
Given the information above we can extrapolate the following:
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The average ACHS opponent would lose every game to the average Ira opponent by approximately 42 points.
Average ACHS opponent rating is 191.56
Average Ira opponent rating is 233.70
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I did not go to the trouble of running the numbers to get the overall rankings for Ira’s opponents but just using their Division rankings is pretty close on this:
Average ranking for ACHS opponents is #112
Average ranking for Ira opponents is somewhere around #20
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ACHS Best win is over #31
Ira Best win is over #9
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ACHS Opponents overall records are 8-16 for a 50% won/loss ratio ........ ( 4 of those games were won by one team - Newcastle )
Ira Opponents overall records are 8-11 for a 72% won/loss ratio
I will give you the occasional burp of the Toy missing games by a substantial margin - Case in point this year ... Gordon and Strawn. But that is unusual.
Discounting the pie in the sky 4.6's - the super human overall team speed - the unbelievable desire and work ethic of ACHS - I will still go with Ira based on fact.
I think this will be a close game right up until the time there is a kick off.
