Every year it seems I need to explain a few things about the rankings, spreads, etc. Before my inbox gets loaded with 'nobody respects us', 'your system is stupid', 'you are an idiot'... messages and e-mails, let me explain a few things.
Preseason rankings are estimations based on last years data and whatever information I may have before the season. They are nothing more than a starting point and conversation piece.
In the case of most private schools, I have no additional information other than what you did last year. I used to not publish my private school rankings for several weeks. Heck, I used to never publish them at all, out of respect for Jon Walk, whose rankings I would publish instead despite using my own in the system.
The rankings by week 4 are pretty solid (given you have played a decent schedule). I will give more information as the season goes on. I will also publish a page where you can see why your ranking exists where it does, but not for a few more weeks.
In theory I could just start everyone out the same and the rankings would just bounce around and by week 5 we would be in the exact same spot... but what fun would that be?
I have been doing this a long time. My first rankings were back in 1993, but I never published them. It wasn't until 1994 when I started showing people then started the newsletter and several newspapers started running them. Back then, there wasn't anyone else ranking the teams, save for the AP Poll for the top-10, which I was asked to voted on from 1995 until it ended. For the poll I would submit the systems' top-10
Will there be a bunch of spreads out of whack? Yes, the first few weeks are where we get a ton of information on who has improved or not. It does not make me feels good nor bad. I expect it. It there was a system that predicted 100% of the games, the world would not be a better place. I am happy with a 80% average for the season. That's been the going rate.
No reason to send me hate mail. Just post the score and brag about your team. That will do.
I personally do not root for teams and do not have a dog in the hunt. I root for friends I have made over the years hope they all get the opportunity to play for a title at some point. Unfortunately, they all tend to play each other over time.
If you have questions, please ask.
Preseason rankings are estimations based on last years data and whatever information I may have before the season. They are nothing more than a starting point and conversation piece.
In the case of most private schools, I have no additional information other than what you did last year. I used to not publish my private school rankings for several weeks. Heck, I used to never publish them at all, out of respect for Jon Walk, whose rankings I would publish instead despite using my own in the system.
The rankings by week 4 are pretty solid (given you have played a decent schedule). I will give more information as the season goes on. I will also publish a page where you can see why your ranking exists where it does, but not for a few more weeks.
In theory I could just start everyone out the same and the rankings would just bounce around and by week 5 we would be in the exact same spot... but what fun would that be?
I have been doing this a long time. My first rankings were back in 1993, but I never published them. It wasn't until 1994 when I started showing people then started the newsletter and several newspapers started running them. Back then, there wasn't anyone else ranking the teams, save for the AP Poll for the top-10, which I was asked to voted on from 1995 until it ended. For the poll I would submit the systems' top-10
Will there be a bunch of spreads out of whack? Yes, the first few weeks are where we get a ton of information on who has improved or not. It does not make me feels good nor bad. I expect it. It there was a system that predicted 100% of the games, the world would not be a better place. I am happy with a 80% average for the season. That's been the going rate.
No reason to send me hate mail. Just post the score and brag about your team. That will do.
I personally do not root for teams and do not have a dog in the hunt. I root for friends I have made over the years hope they all get the opportunity to play for a title at some point. Unfortunately, they all tend to play each other over time.
If you have questions, please ask.
