Fajitapete's Rankings after week11

[fajitapete]

In week 11 there were some interesting games, missed two in each UIL division.

There are going to be rankings for each league to follow in this thread shortly

 

[fajitapete]

UIL Division 1

1 Rankin 150.95
2 Borden County 142.51
3 Abbott 141.02
4 Valley 133.43
5 Ira 133.34
6 Water Valley 133.17
7 Crowell 131
8 Gordon 129.63
9 Throckmorton 122.17
10 Petersburg 112.12
11 Santa Anna 111.63
12 Oakwood 110.47
13 May 109.47
14 Sterling City 109.16
15 Zephyr 106.37
16 Grady 101.16
17 Rochelle 96.1
18 Ropes 92.45
19 Meadow 90.03
20 Spur 89.99
21 Miami 89.85
22 Happy 87.48
23 Anton 87.31
24 Garden City 87.2
25 Leveretts Chapel 85.5
26 Apple Springs 84.99
27 Klondike 81.79
28 Buckholts 75.53
29 Blum 75.36
30 Savoy 74.67
31 Rotan 73.99
32 Aquilla 71.55
33 Paducah 70.58
34 Knox City 69.39
35 Nazareth 66.77
36 Walnut Springs 66.72
37 Evant 65.05
38 Lingleville 64.75
39 Marfa 63.63
40 High Island 61.75
41 Gustine 60.05
42 Bynum 57.12
43 Bryson 56.21
44 Whiteface 55.68
45 Lometa 53.95
46 Fort Davis 52.54
47 Highland 47.34
48 Fannindel 46.93
49 Waxahachie Advantage 46.92
50 Paint Creek 46.81
51 Eden 46.74
52 Paint Rock 45.21
53 Kopperl 42.55
54 Saint Jo 37.97
55 Kress 37.92
56 Penelope 37.38
57 Avalon 35.01
58 Hermleigh 34.33
59 Coolidge 33.58
60 Hart 31.41
61 Veribest 30.89
62 McLean 30.71
63 Chester 30.04
64 Fruitvale 25.55
65 O'Donnell 8.75
66 Covington 8.18
67 Mt. Calm 7.95
68 Irving Universal 6.16
69 Lubbock Harmony 3.44
70 Bloomburg -5.95
71 Campbell -21.71

 

[fajitapete]

UIL Division 2

1 Richland Springs 143.79
2 Grandfalls-Royalty 142.77
3 Milford 138.93
4 Follett 129.34
5 Strawn 119.68
6 Jonesboro 117.5
7 Aspermont 115.21
8 Jayton 110.44
9 Motley County 108.31
10 Robert Lee 103.34
11 Balmorhea 96.06
12 Chillicothe 93.36
13 Loop 91.86
14 Loraine 90.05
15 Newcastle 89.56
16 Amherst 86.04
17 Groom 85.67
18 Trinidad 80.83
19 Woodson 79.1
20 Panther Creek 79.06
21 Calvert 78.19
22 New Home 77.33
23 Cherokee 75.96
24 Welch 72.12
25 Blanket 71.01
26 Northside 70.47
27 Rising Star 67.31
28 Sidney 64.98
29 Guthrie 64.11
30 Lefors 64.04
31 Blackwell 63.78
32 Harrold 57.4
33 Mullin 56.31
34 Cranfills Gap 51.57
35 Iredell 51.01
36 Trent 49.58
37 Sierra Blanca 48.8
38 Sands 45.37
39 Patton Springs 45.12
40 Hedley 43.44
41 Wellman-Union 42.39
42 Silverton 42.25
43 Sanderson 41.16
44 Lueders-Avoca 39.19
45 Wilson 36.23
46 Whitharral 31.52
47 Gold-Burg 28.52
48 Lorenzo 28.32
49 Moran 19.67
50 Morgan 18.23
51 Oglesby 18.21
52 Karnack 15.66
53 Darrouzett 7.58
54 Rule 6.66
55 Lazbuddie 6.32
56 Lohn 3.21
57 Cotton Center 2.87
58 Star 2.51
59 Buena Vista -0.74
60 Benjamin -3.28
61 Westbrook -4.86
62 Higgins -6.44
63 Dell City -16.11
64 Forestburg -16.47
65 Southland -16.82
66 Prairie Lea -20.35
67 Brookesmith -25.03

 

[fajitapete]

TAPPS Division 1
Scroll down for Div 2

1 Dallas The Covenant 137.31
2 Boerne Geneva 124.11
3 Abilene Christian 123.27
4 Rockwall Heritage 105.28
5 Bulverde Bracken 104.51
6 New Braunfels Christian 98.01
7 Sugar Land Logos Prep 75.27
8 Huntsville Alpha Omega 68.64
9 Watauga Harvest 66.53
10 Midland Trinity 63.45
11 Austin Hill Country 61.62
12 Round Rock Christian 60.1
13 San Antonio The Winston 55.1
14 Denton Calvary 54.19
15 Kerrville Our Lady of the Hills 46.06
16 Greenville Christian 40.01
17 Dallas Tyler Street 35.02
18 Amarillo Holy Cross 34.75
19 Baytown Christian 22.45
20 Christian Academy of SA 22.27
21 Pasadena First Baptist 21.95
22 Austin Veritas 19.81
23 Waco Vanguard Prep 7.19
24 Cedar Park Summit 3.61
25 Kingwood Northeast Christian -11.26
26 San Antonio Lutheran -12.76
27 Conroe Covenant Christian -54.56

TAPPS Division 2
1 Wichita Falls Notre Dame 137.45
2 Seguin Lifegate 129.24
3 Fredericksburg Heritage 77.01
4 Granbury NCTA 70.53
5 El Paso Jesus Chapel 66.7
6 Heath Fulton 63.85
7 Lake Jackson Brazosport 49.51
8 Orange Community Christian 47.47
9 San Antonio Town East 43.01
10 Alvin Living Stones 28.49
11 Lubbock Kingdom Prep 28.3
12 Brownwood Victory Life 27.73
13 San Antonio Castle Hills 25.07
14 San Marcos Hill Country 22.67
15 Plainview Christian 20.53
16 Longview Trinity 12.14
17 Bellville Faith 5.94
18 McKinney Cornerstone 3.55
19 SA Believers 0.45
20 Lubbock Christ the King -1.16
21 Wichita Falls Christian -1.89
22 River City Believers -7.67
23 Killeen Memorial -8.65
24 San Antonio New Life -16.03
25 Houston Texas Christian -22.73
26 Brenham Christian -30.54
27 Magnolia Legacy Prep -40.74

 

[fajitapete]

TCAF

DIV 1
1 Lucas Christian 79.59
2 Dallas Academy 64.47
3 Fort Worth Nazarene 61.79
4 Westlake Academy 57.33
5 Willow Point Trinity 23.59
6 Fort Worth Hill 23.35
7 Crowley Ft Worth Nazarene 9.54
8 El Paso Immanuel Christian -0.21


Div 2
1 Azle Christian 101.67
2 Arlington High Point Prep 87.02
3 Wylie Prep 67.5
4 Irving Faustina 49.82
5 Mineral Wells Community Christian 22.68
6 Weatherford Christian -0.43
7 Balch Springs Christian -28.68

 

[fajitapete]

TCAL DIV 1
Scroll down for Div2

1 Bryan Allen 105.96
2 San Antonio FEAST 95.82
3 Tomball Home School 78.46
4 Waco Live Oak 67.22
5 Waco Methodist Home Charter 60.54
6 San Marcos Homeschool 55.86
7 El Paso Faith 54.97
8 Houston Mt Carmel 48.88
9 Fort Worth THESA 44.6
10 El Paso Home School 41.52
11 Bryan BVCHEA 38.47
12 Clear Lake Christian 20.39
13 Greenville Phoenix 19.05
14 Athens Christian Prep 16.08
15 Houston Sanchez Charter 12.2
16 Houston Clear Lake Christian 3.81
17 San Antonio The Atonement -1.11

DIV 2
1 Stephenville Faith 144.37
2 Bastrop Tribe 90.08
3 Cleburne Christian 69.54
4 Tyler HEAT 59.74
5 Granbury Cornerstone 48.54
6 Decatur Wise Co 46.39
7 Tyler Kings Academy 29.46
8 Corpus Christi Annapolis 28.92
9 Sugar Land HCYA Fort Bend 25.12
10 Round Rock Williamson County Home School 23.56
11 Weatherford Express 21.37
12 Marshall Christian 16.13
13 Crosby Victory and Praise 14.71
14 ECHO Bell 6.23
15 West Columbia Charter 5.52
16 Dublin Premiere Charter -3.38
17 Comanche Paradigm -9.88
18 San Antonio Sunnybrook -10.73
19 Arlington Newman -11.32
20 Bryan Harmony -14.75
21 San Antonio River City -28.12
22 Lockhart Lighthouse Christian -69.07

 

[rollinghills]

Fajita your toy had a hiccup in uil div 2. Its got Patton Springs at #12

 

[fajitapete]

Fajita your toy had a hiccup in uil div 2. Its got Patton Springs at #12

You got to right about that - I will investigate because I can't see that happening . . .

 

[fortyfived]

Fajita... I know you hear this all the time, but just curious how is Water Valley ranked below Borden County if BC has a loss to them?

 

[fajitapete]

Fajita your toy had a hiccup in uil div 2. Its got Patton Springs at #12

You got to right about that - I will investigate because I can't see that happening . . .

Found the issue - I did not have code in place to take care of a forfeit. So I am working on it now, two teams were affected, Jayton was penalized because the expected win was forecast to be 50 points and the score was 1-0 Patton Springs were rewarded because in week 10 they were a 50 point underdog and Jayton scored only 1 point.

Inthe meantime I intend to check for a 1-0 or 2-0 score and calculate the win as if the wining team beat the spread by 7 points. After I look at historical trends I might change that but for now I will plug in the 'corrected score and recalculate powers - of course that changes the week 11 spread for Jayton as well . . .

good catch, thaks for being the QA on the team ") updated powers to follow shortly.. .

With the new code inb place, Jayton moved up to #10 and Patton Springs fell to 39th

 

[fajitapete]

Fajita... I know you hear this all the time, but just curious how is Water Valley ranked below Borden County if BC has a loss to them?

Be right with you , fixing the error that rollinghills found . . .

 

[fajitapete]

Fajita... I know you hear this all the time, but just curious how is Water Valley ranked below Borden County if BC has a loss to them?

Well, at one time that loss did have BC ranked below WV. So what happened? It’s like this, the system tries to place a power on a team and then when comparing two teams the difference is what the expected spread is.

If the powers are right then the score ends up with that spread. But when the spread is missed it means that one or both teams power needs to be adjusted. If you were picked to win and you beat the spread you get more power than if you met the spread and if you win but don’t cover the spread then you can actually lose a few points. BC lost poinst on a win in week 10 as did WV.
Works the same for the underdog but they get a lot bigger reward if they manage to win the game but they can lose and still go up a few points depending on how they did against the spread.

Since the WV game BC beat the spread 4 out of 5 time, winning all games and their power went like this: power (forecast actual)
119(49,60), 125(41,48), 129(35,42), 133(53,50), 132(35,52), new power 142
WV has won every game since the BC game but they didn’t cover the spread in the Sterling City game by a long shot (36 points ) so their power has gone like this:
125(51,52), 126(51,62), 138(53,60), 142(44, 8), 131(44,46), new power 133

It’s not a perfect system but it should get better each week, But it is six man ball so anything can happen. Hope it helps . . .

 

[loveofgame]

Tapps DII- Mckinney @ 10? Got a team or two below them that 45'd them.

 

[fajitapete]

Tapps DII- Mckinney @ 10? Got a team or two below them that 45'd them.

Same anomaly that was just identified bite me again except McKinney was the 'winner' in one match and they beat the spread both times. Games/results/poweres rolled forward.
posting corrections now