Not going to go into a bunch of detail, but from a wide-angle view, here are a few numbers on the season:
(wk,C,W,pct,45)
(1, 90, 31, '0.74', 54)
(2, 92, 27, '0.77', 72)
(3, 91, 30, '0.75', 60)
(4, 94, 30, '0.76', 59)
(5, 98, 21, '0.82', 58)
(6, 78, 26, '0.75', 49)
(7, 90, 22, '0.80', 56)
(8, 73, 17, '0.81', 45)
(9, 100, 12, '0.89', 63)
(10, 90, 21, '0.81', 52)
(11, 85, 8, '0.91', 49)
If my math is correct, the columns should represent the week, # the computer got correct, the # wrong, the percentage and the number of games ended in the 45 point rule.
Several people have questioned me on the 'balance' of districts because as you see, in the last three weeks of the season, they have been much more predictable. Unexpectedly, the percentage of 45-point games doesn't change much.
Here's that data as a percentage
1,0.60
2,0.78
3,0.66
4,0.63
5,0.59
6,0.63
7,0.62
8,0.62
9,0.63
10,0.58
11,0.58
As you can see, the number of 45-point games is roughly 60% all season (except for week 2 and 3 where it was a bit outside that range). The last two weeks of the season are actually BELOW the expected average.
(wk,C,W,pct,45)
(1, 90, 31, '0.74', 54)
(2, 92, 27, '0.77', 72)
(3, 91, 30, '0.75', 60)
(4, 94, 30, '0.76', 59)
(5, 98, 21, '0.82', 58)
(6, 78, 26, '0.75', 49)
(7, 90, 22, '0.80', 56)
(8, 73, 17, '0.81', 45)
(9, 100, 12, '0.89', 63)
(10, 90, 21, '0.81', 52)
(11, 85, 8, '0.91', 49)
If my math is correct, the columns should represent the week, # the computer got correct, the # wrong, the percentage and the number of games ended in the 45 point rule.
Several people have questioned me on the 'balance' of districts because as you see, in the last three weeks of the season, they have been much more predictable. Unexpectedly, the percentage of 45-point games doesn't change much.
Here's that data as a percentage
1,0.60
2,0.78
3,0.66
4,0.63
5,0.59
6,0.63
7,0.62
8,0.62
9,0.63
10,0.58
11,0.58
As you can see, the number of 45-point games is roughly 60% all season (except for week 2 and 3 where it was a bit outside that range). The last two weeks of the season are actually BELOW the expected average.
