fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
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fajitapete
6-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Aug 27, 2007 4:59 pm Posts: 993 Location: Flying O Ranch, Shamrock Texas
Blog: View Blog (1)
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 fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
For a lot longer than I care to think about I have been working on a ranking system aka ‘a toy’. It is based on last years power rankings that I tabulated and then influenced by enrollment, last years district standing, lettermen lost, returning, and starters returning. The last 4 items are taken out of DCTF so blame him if the rankings do go the way you want.
After a lot of regression testing and trying to quantify the influence on each of these areas, I think I have my system ready to run. It will get better as time goes on as I recessively apply corrections in a 4 week moving window so hopefully towards the end of the season I will have a good ranking system. I tested the system during last years play offs and only missed 5 games. So I am going public this year.
It’s not rocket science, but seems pretty damn close to it. Anyway, I haven’t done anything with the tapps or independents. I don’t have a clue how one can harness that much data, just doing div 1 and 2 is kicking my butt. I will try to bring those teams on line this year.
So here is the first run aka preseason rankings. If this can be kept up I’ll do it all year but if work gets in the way, well I do like the paycheck. I will try to predict upcoming game as well so we can all take big ol jabs when I miss.
Penelope 1 Abbott 2 Aquilla 3 Bynum 4
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| Thu Jun 23, 2011 10:52 pm |
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Ricky Bobby
11-Man Fan
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2009 9:05 pm Posts: 10
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
#1 Abbott - returns good kids, good coaches, and a proven system #2 Penelope - Lost some good players but should have enough to squeek by Aquilla #3 Aquilla - sorry Aquilla fans but your move ins just werent enough to replace the all-stud Tadlock and his QB and RB buddies! #4 Bynum - well its bynum
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| Sat Jul 02, 2011 2:47 am |
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CowboyP
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:59 pm Posts: 4695 Location: Aquilla Sixmaniac
Blog: View Blog (6)
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
It's going to be a 3 way battle for district. Aquilla, Abbott, & Penelope are going to be closely matched.
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| Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:30 pm |
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luckyleroy
11-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:01 am Posts: 19 Location: Abbott ByGod Texas
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
1. Abbott 2. Aquilla/Penelope 3. Penelope/Aquilla 4. Bynum All teams lost some key players, but Abbott has some speed coming up. Speed kills..........and the speed we have will give you chills. That's my pick, stay tuned.
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| Thu Jul 21, 2011 9:48 am |
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CowboyP
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:59 pm Posts: 4695 Location: Aquilla Sixmaniac
Blog: View Blog (6)
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
Leroy, you know Abbott can't beat Aquilla! Let the games begin!
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| Fri Jul 22, 2011 6:55 pm |
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Sixmanfanforlife
11-Man Fan
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2011 10:01 am Posts: 7
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
I see this division playing out a little like this and why:
Abbott-1 Great speed talented running back #2 proven that system works great coaches solid defense Aquilla-2 Decent size and speed solid defense #10 great defensive coach and all around coaches lost alot of key players Penelope-3 Great size lost alot of starters but have alot of juniors to step in Bynum-4 Don't know much about this team
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| Tue Jul 26, 2011 11:15 am |
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bulldog
11-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2011 10:32 am Posts: 13
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
Bynum has new coaches and a new attitude....
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| Mon Aug 15, 2011 12:19 pm |
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CowboyP
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:59 pm Posts: 4695 Location: Aquilla Sixmaniac
Blog: View Blog (6)
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
I hope Bynum uses that new attitude to their advantage. Good luck. Just remember - Aquilla will be 1st!
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| Mon Aug 15, 2011 8:50 pm |
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kbjoe1
6-Man Fan
Joined: Tue Nov 09, 2010 6:37 pm Posts: 655 Location: west texas
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
Penelope 2 Abbott 1 Aquilla 3 Bynum 4
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| Tue Aug 16, 2011 1:59 pm |
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how_bout_them_bulldogs
6-Man Fan
Joined: Fri Feb 10, 2006 2:01 am Posts: 42 Location: Dog Town
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
who are the new coaches and where are they from bulldog
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| Tue Aug 16, 2011 5:20 pm |
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bulldog
11-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2011 10:32 am Posts: 13
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
Josh Ball is the Head Coach and Assistant coach is Michael High. All 3 coaches from last year left. Players are working harder than they ever have.
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| Wed Aug 17, 2011 3:09 pm |
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High Plains Drifter
6-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 572 Location: texas
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
Thinks that maybe Aquilla had a Josh Ball a few years back. Might this be he?
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| Wed Aug 17, 2011 4:02 pm |
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CowboyP
6-Man Fan
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2010 2:59 pm Posts: 4695 Location: Aquilla Sixmaniac
Blog: View Blog (6)
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
High Plains Drifter wrote: Thinks that maybe Aquilla had a Josh Ball a few years back. Might this be he? Aquilla did have a Josh Ball. I'd like to know if it's the same guy.
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| Wed Aug 17, 2011 9:23 pm |
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Eagles303
11-Man Fan
Joined: Fri Aug 07, 2009 5:44 pm Posts: 20 Location: Austin
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
same guy. he was at Iredell last year.
new attitude now puts in bynum in the driver's seat. puttin abbott, aquilla, and penelope on official notice
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| Thu Aug 18, 2011 7:17 pm |
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bulldog
11-Man Fan
Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2011 10:32 am Posts: 13
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 Re: fajitapete's rankings(ravings)
We'll see how Bynum reacts tonight against Milford.
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| Fri Aug 19, 2011 6:54 am |
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