For a lot longer than I care to think about I have been working on a ranking system aka ‘a toy’. It is based on last years power rankings that I tabulated and then influenced by enrollment, last years district standing, lettermen lost, returning, and starters returning. The last 4 items are taken out of DCTF so blame him if the rankings do go the way you want.

After a lot of regression testing and trying to quantify the influence on each of these areas, I think I have my system ready to run. It will get better as time goes on as I recessively apply corrections in a 4 week moving window so hopefully towards the end of the season I will have a good ranking system. I tested the system during last years play offs and only missed 5 games. So I am going public this year.

It’s not rocket science, but seems pretty damn close to it. Anyway, I haven’t done anything with the tapps or independents. I don’t have a clue how one can harness that much data, just doing div 1 and 2 is kicking my butt. I will try to bring those teams on line this year.

So here is the first run aka preseason rankings. If this can be kept up I’ll do it all year but if work gets in the way, well I do like the paycheck. I will try to predict upcoming game as well so we can all take big ol jabs when I miss.


Richland Springs 1
Cherokee 2
Mullin 3
Lohn 4 <---------- my bad, left them out
Brookesmith 5

Lohn, Pete. Lets at least give them a number. Actually Lohn may be a dark horse for a playoff spot.

Blue Bird wrote:
> Lohn, Pete. Lets at least give them a number. Actually Lohn may be a dark
> horse for a playoff spot.


My bad, I had Lohn stuck down in the outlaw bunch but the power ranking assigned has them looking up.
crap, I'll make another run with them in the right district . . . I'll post the correct. PM me your mailing address, I'll send yoiu a prize for finding the first error, I expect there are others

Yep I agree, someone else could slip into the number 2 spot.Cherokee seems over rated. I don't see anyone beating RS ,period. Very well coached team. not as talented as some div 2 teams, but a paramount of precision. Execution is flawless, they simply do not make mistakes. They do not beat themselves. They repeat ass D2 champs

Mullin gets back all starters that 45'd Lohn and Brookesmith last year. Cherokee will not have the horses they did last year due to age restrictions. If the Mullin boys all show up and play for the new coach whoever it may be, they could get 2nd since Cherokee will be down. Here are my predictions;

Richland Springs
Mullin
Lohn
Cherokee
Brookesmith

#1. Richland Springs - 45's everybody again
#2. Cherokee - Good young kids shouldnt have a problem lockin up 2nd
#3. Lohn - Have all skilled kids returning. Hard working group and finally some coaching consistency
#4. Mullin - seems to have alot of me players and a new coach...again!
#5. Brookesmith - A new coach, again, again, again....young team still

San Saba County will represent District 15...............

Then followed by.....
Mills Co.
McCullough Co.
Brown Co.

McCulloch Co (sp)

McCuller co iz number 2.

If the Eagles have anywhere near what they had last year, they could be better, and if I remember correctly most of the players were returning. That ranking may be close to correct when all is said and done.

I had Mullin picked 2nd with what they had coming back, but I heard the best player they had quit Monday! He will probably be back, but if they stay together they could get that second spot. They 45'd Lohn last year and have everyone but 1 back from that team. The biggest thing Mullin has going against them is another head coaching change. Too many in the past 5 or 6 years for those kids to know any kind of stability. Also doesn't help that pretty much any coach that comes in there, the local experts find something wrong with him and trry to turn the kids against them. I feel bad for the players!

I thought the school board pres.
was calling the shots in Mullin
this year?

I look for the Bulldogs to begin to choke when the going gets a little rough, and, the Lohn Eagles are starting to make their move toward second place in District 15! (in my opinion)

If the powers that be in Mullin(i.e. the local experts, the above mentioned being one of them) would let a coach come in, give up the AD position to said coach, and let them begin building a program, Mullin could possibly get back to the days winning days of old. But until they stop running off the coaches they get because they dont bow down to the select few in town, Mullin will continue to be just a mediocre team. I wish them the best, but it needs to change because the seniors there have seen four coaching changes in 4 years.

If Mullin's "best" player
is a quitter,
that basically sums up
what the problem is down there.

On another yet relative note;
If all coaches would get rid of that #1 jersey
maybe boys would start thinking that the TEAM is actually #1.